Dr Jack Forster, BSc (Hons), PhD

Statistician

Jack Forster profile pageEmail: jack.forster@forestry.gsi.gov.uk

Tel: +44 (0)300 067 5600
Tel direct: +44 (0)300 067 5649
Fax: +44 (0)1420 23653

Address:
Forest Research
Alice Holt Lodge
Farnham
Surrey GU10 4LH
UK

Jack Forster joined Forest Research as a research statistician in 2015, having previously worked as a statistician at the Home Office (2014-2015) and the Department of Energy and Climate Change (2012-2014). Jack received a 1st class Honours degree in Zoology from the University of Liverpool in 2008, and completed a PhD in theoretical ecology at Queen Mary University of London in 2012 , with specific focus on the response of growth rate and body size to increasing temperature in ectothermic organisms.

Current role

Statistician

Providing a statistical consultancy service to researchers at Forest Research (both at Alice Holt and Northern Research Station) within three key areas:

  • Technical Skills - Providing up-to-date methodological expertise and analytical skills, using a range of innovative and modern statistical techniques and software
  • Quality Assurance - Actively encouraging the proportionate and consistent application of statistical quality assurance.
  • Knowledge exchange – Communicating and collaborating with Forest Research staff to provide statistical advice and to encourage the development of statistical literacy.

Current projects


Social and Economic Research
Recent work includes analysis of questionnaire data associated with the monitoring and evaluation of projects with Kew Gardens (Grow Wild) and the Active Forests Programme.

Land Use and Ecosystem Services Research
Use of structural equation modelling (SEM) to analyse woodland creation and ecological networks (WrEN) in collaboration with the University of Stirling.

Forest Management Research
Analysis of experimental data from a range of trials focussing on vegetation management and reducing herbicide inputs.

Climate Change Research
Recent work includes assessment of tree model reconstruction from Terrestrial Laser Scanner (TLS) readings.

Pests and diseases
Using mixed-effects models to assess potential multifactorial drivers of acute oak decline (AOD).

Other affiliations and responsibilities

Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society.

Main recent publications
 

Peer-reviewed journal articles
Hirst, A.G. and Forster, J., 2013. When growth models are not universal: evidence from marine invertebrates. Proc. R. Soc. B (Vol. 280, No. 1768, p. 20131546).

Forster, J., Hirst, A.G. and Atkinson, D., 2012. Warming-induced reductions in body size are greater in aquatic than terrestrial species. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(47), pp.19310-19314.

Forster, J., Hirst, A.G. and Esteban, G.F., 2013. Achieving temperature-size changes in a unicellular organism. The ISME Journal, 7(1), pp.28-36.

Forster, J. and Hirst, A.G., 2012. The temperature‐size rule emerges from ontogenetic differences between growth and development rates. Functional Ecology, 26(2), pp.483-492.

Forster, J., Hirst, A.G. and Woodward, G., 2011. Growth and development rates have different thermal responses. The American Naturalist, 178(5), pp.668-678.

Forster, J., Hirst, A.G. and Atkinson, D., 2011. How do organisms change size with changing temperature? The importance of reproductive method and ontogenetic timing. Functional Ecology, 25(5), pp.1024-1031.

Reiss, J., Forster, J., Cassio, F., Pascoal, C., Stewart, R. and Hirst, A.G., 2010. When microscopic organisms inform general ecological theory. Advances in Ecological Research, 43, pp.45-85.

Official statistics
Immigration statistics quarterly release, January 2015 - December 2015 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/immigration-statistics-quarterly-release

Digest of the United Kingdom Energy Statistics (DUKES) Gas Statistics, 2013 – 2014 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/digest-of-uk-energy-statistics-dukes

Energy Trends Gas Statistics, September 2013 – September 2014 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/energy-trends#2013

Other publications
Kerr, G., Forster, J. and Jinks, R. (2016) Summary of FR Seed Origin Trials on Low's fir [Abies concoloer var. Iowiana (Gord.) Lemm.] FR Report, June 2016.

Parratt, M. J., Willoughby, I. and Forster, J. (2016) Cycloxidim and Propyzamide as potential habitat improvement tools for the Pearl-bordered Fritillary butterfly. FR Report June 2016.

Stokes. V, Forster, J. and Kerr, G. (2017) A comparison of Sitka x white spruce hybrids with QCI Sitka spruce. FR Report February 2017.

Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration from third countries in the UK. European Migration Network Focused Study, Home Office Science, May 2015.

Physical gas flows across Europe and diversity of gas supply in 2012. Department of Energy and Climate Change, March 2014. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/energy-trends-march-2014

Diversity of supply for oil and oil products in OECD countries. Department of Energy and Climate Change, September 2013. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/energy-trends-september-2013

Physical gas flows across Europe and security and diversity of gas supply in 2011. Department of Energy and Climate Change, June 2013. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/energy-trends-june-2013

Exploring the mechanism of how ectotherms change size with changing Temperature. Thesis submitted in accordance of the requirements of Queen Mary, University of London for the degree of Doctor in Philosophy, July 2012. https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/bitstream/handle/123456789/7559/Forster_Jack_final_060712.pdf?sequence=1