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Modelling and forecasting forest resources

Summary of Research
A research programme to deliver the forecast systems that work at the estate, regional and national levels are needed to predict long-term trends in production and development of the growing stock. In a strategic context, the results of these forecast systems are used to ensure that planned levels of tree harvesting are consistent with the long-term viability of the forest estate. In a tactical context, they also support planning and operations in public woodlands and private estates. The application of a consistent forecasting methodology for both strategic and tactical analysis is an important way of achieving transparency in the relationships between actual forest management and delivery against policy targets. Scientific objectives are set across three key research areas relevant to current policy and practice priorities:

  1. Forecasting and scenario analysis
  2. Forecast systems engineering
  3. Growth and yield model development

Last updated: 3rd May 2016

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modelling and forecasting

Forestry Commission
Forest Research

Further information on work undertaken by Forest Research:
Forest mensuration, modelling and forecasting