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Forestry Statistics 2015 - UK-Grown Timber

Wood production

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The National Forest Inventory "50-year forecast of softwood availability" and "50-year forecast of hardwood availability" were published in April 2014. They are forecasts of potential availability rather than production, as they do not take account of management objectives, financial factors or the state of markets, all of which will affect the level of and timing of harvesting.

More information on the forecasts and detailed breakdowns are available on the National Forest Inventory web pages at www.forestry.gov.uk/inventory.

The forecasts are outside the scope of National Statistics, but are provided here to give more context to the data on wood production.

The key assumptions underpinning the headline softwood forecast scenario include:

  • Private woodland is managed in a way that maximises total production.
  • The estate of the Forestry Commission and Natural Resources Wales is managed according to current management plans; note both Forestry Commission Scotland and Natural Resources Wales intend to cap production below the level set out in Table 2.4a. 

Under the above scenario, softwood availability for Great Britain averages 15.2 million cubic metres a year over the 50-year period 2013 to 2061 (Table 2.4a). The majority (66%) of this softwood is projected to come from private sector woodland.

Table 2.4a Softwood availability forecasts

Annual average
in the period

England

  Wales

Scotland

        GB

thousand cubic metres overbark standing

FC/NRW1

 

 

 

 

     2013 - 2016

1 632

1 082

4 220

6 933

     2017 - 2021

1 330

991

3 658

5 980

     2022 - 2026

1 211

895

3 516

5 622

     2027 - 2031

1 159

778

3 789

5 726

     2032 - 2036

1 066

934

3 215

5 216

     2037 - 2041

1 013

794

2 936

4 744

     2042 - 2046 

1 055

531

2 730

4 316

     2047 - 2051

1 014

585

3 280

4 879

     2052 - 2056

828

495

2 886

4 209

     2057 - 2061

1 250

679

2 339

4 269

Private sector2

       

     2013 - 2016

2 945 901 5 708 9 554

     2017 - 2021

3 225 949 6 997 11 171

     2022 - 2026

2 903 1 087 7 830 11 820

     2027 - 2031

2 986 775 8 910 12 671

     2032 - 2036

2 850 736 8 847 12 433

     2037 - 2041

2 224 679 8 133 11 035

     2042 - 2046

1 848 490 6 527 8 865

     2047 - 2051

1 523 521 4 986 7 030

     2052 - 2056

1 431 734 5 679 7 845

     2057 - 2061

1 603 694 5 627 7 924

Total softwood

       

     2013 - 2016

4 577 1 983 9 928 16 487

     2017 - 2021

4 555 1 940 10 656 17 151

     2022 - 2026

4 113 1 982 11 346 17 442

     2027 - 2031

4 145 1 553 12 700 18 398

     2032 - 2036

3 916 1 670 12 062 17 649

     2037 - 2041

3 237 1 473 11 069 15 779

     2042 - 2046

2 903 1 021 9 257 13 181

     2047 - 2051

2 537 1 106 8 266 11 909

     2052 - 2056

2 259 1 229 8 566 12 054

     2057 - 2061

2 853 1 373 7 966 12 193

Source: National Forest Inventory: 50-year forecast of softwood availability (Forestry Commission, April 2014)

Notes:

1. The estate of the Forestry Commission and Natural Resources Wales is assumed to be managed according to current management plans; note both Forestry Commission Scotland and Natural Resources Wales intend to cap production below the level set out in Table 2.4a. 

2. Private woodland is assumed to be managed in a way that maximises total production.

These figures are outside the scope of National Statistics

Links to Forestry Statistics 2015